Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Alvaro Guillen MezaZug Round of 32

Zug · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#255ATP
1558ELO
1526Clay ELO
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWWLWW
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
clay
TOPCAR COURT 2 · 4th on
#277ATP
1442ELO
1412Clay ELO
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWLLWLL
Gadamauri B.
vs
Guillen Meza A.

Buvaysar Gadamauri faces Alvaro Guillen Meza in the Zug round of 32 on clay. Buvaysar Gadamauri holds the paper edge — ranked #255, a roughly 110-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Gadamauri B.71%
Guillen Meza A.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Gadamauri B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+114 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Clay Elo 1412
6.5Overall Elo 1558
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1442
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.36 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
1.72 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

36 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
65%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
55%
40%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
43%
Break points saved·Clear edge
66%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.9
1.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Gadamauri B.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Guillen Meza A.

Guillen Meza A.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Gadamauri B.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
99
84

Gadamauri B.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Guillen Meza A.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 42%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw