Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend — Winnipeg Round of 32
Winnipeg · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
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Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
hard
Hsiou Hsu Y.vs
Dylan Hara Friend J.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTCHsiou Hsu Y.34%
Dylan Hara Friend J.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Dylan Hara Friend J. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1468
Surface ELO5.1+12 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1488
ELO gap5.2Overall Elo 1503
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.45 of last 10 on hard
Surface form5.56 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transitionContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
22 vs 11 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
56%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.8
5.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.2
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEven serve battle
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
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89
Dylan Hara Friend J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°COvercast
Wind 27 km/hHumidity 82%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.