Fiona Ferro vs Yufei Ren — Palermo Round of 32

Palermo · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Fiona Ferro
FRA7
Fiona Ferro
#141WTA
1662ELO
1605Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
clay
CAMPO 6 · 3rd on
CHNQ
Yufei Ren
#313WTA
1361ELO
1351Clay ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWWLWW
Ferro F.
6-2 6-3
Ren Y.
Ferro F.
662
Ren Y.
230

Fiona Ferro defeated Yufei Ren in the Round of 32 of the Palermo tournament on clay, winning 6-2, 6-3. Ferro hit one ace and no double faults, while Ren had no aces and two double faults. Ferro converted 33% of her break points and broke Ren's serve four times, compared to Ren's one service break.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Ferro F.Ren Y.
1st serve in·Even
68%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
48%
50%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
53%
Aces / match·Even
1.2
0.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Ferro F.89%
Ren Y.11%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Ferro F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ferro F.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Ren Y.
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
8.2+254 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Clay Elo 1351
8.8Overall Elo 1662
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1361
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.06 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ferro F.Ren Y.
Freshness·
88
—

Ferro F.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw