Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Jaime FariaEstoril Round of 32

Estoril · ATP · Round of 32
#55ATP
1743ELO
1690Clay ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLWLLLL
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
clay
#92ATP
1735ELO
1706Clay ELO
$531kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWWLWL
Van De Zandschulp B.
vs
Faria J.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Van De Zandschulp B.44%
Faria J.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1690
Surface ELO
5.2+16 Clay Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1743
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1735
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.54 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

20 vs 42 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
59%
59%
Aces / match·Even
6.2
5.7
Double faults / match·Even
4.4
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Van De Zandschulp B.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Faria J.

Faria J.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Van De Zandschulp B.

Serve advantage — Faria J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
62
54
Break points saved·Clear edge
92
76
Break points won·Clear edge
44
22
Deciding sets·Even
77
81
Tiebreaks·Even
73
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
78
71

Van De Zandschulp B.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d) · Faria J.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 69%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw