Jerome Kym vs Jay Clarke — Zug Round of 32

Zug · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
SUI6
Jerome Kym
#186ATP
1599ELO
1529Clay ELO
$98kYTD
$740kCAREER
23 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWLWWL
—
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
clay
REDCOMET ARENA · 4th on
GBR
Jay Clarke
#239ATP
1458ELO
1414Clay ELO
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLWWWLL
Kym J.
vs
Clarke J.

Jerome Kym faces Jay Clarke in the Zug round of 32 on clay. Jerome Kym holds the paper edge — ranked #186, a roughly 110-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Kym J.77%
Clarke J.23%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kym J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Jerome Kym comes in with 3 days of rest and 164 games in 14d, vs Jay Clarke's 5 and 23.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Jerome Kym has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 36 vs 8).
  • Surface form: Jerome Kym 3 of 5, Jay Clarke 1 of 5 on clay recently — Jerome Kym the sharper of late.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kym J.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Clarke J.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+115 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Clay Elo 1414
6.8Overall Elo 1598
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1458
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.44 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.24 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

13 vs 26 matches

Statistics

This season
Kym J.Clarke J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
60%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.5
4.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kym J.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Clarke J.

Clarke J.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Kym J.

Serve advantage — Kym J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Kym J.Clarke J.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
36
8
Break points saved·Dominant
91
63
Break points won·Even
21
21
Deciding sets·Slight edge
17
10
Tiebreaks·Dominant
80
4

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Kym J.Clarke J.
Freshness·Dominant
59
90

Kym J.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 70 games (7d) · Clarke J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 41%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw