Yasmine Kabbaj vs Deborah Chiesa — Palermo Round of 32

Palermo · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
MAR
Yasmine Kabbaj
#295WTA
1445ELO
1413Clay ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTRALE · 1st on
Deborah Chiesa
ITAWC
Deborah Chiesa
#333WTA
1449ELO
1460Clay ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLWWW
Kabbaj Y.
6-4 6-1
Chiesa D.
Kabbaj Y.
662
Chiesa D.
410

Yasmine Kabbaj defeated Deborah Chiesa in the Round of 32 of the Palermo tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 6-1. Kabbaj hit 2 aces and 2 double faults, winning 73% of her first serves and converting 50% of her break points. She secured 5 service breaks to Chiesa's 2, advancing in the competition.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Kabbaj Y.Chiesa D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
56%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
54%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
49%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.6
2.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Kabbaj Y.39%
Chiesa D.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Chiesa D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kabbaj Y.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Chiesa D.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Clay Elo 1413
Surface ELO
5.6+46 Clay Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1445
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1449
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.55 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.57 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kabbaj Y.Chiesa D.
Freshness·Even
80
76

Kabbaj Y.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Chiesa D.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
34°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw