Titouan Droguet vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli — Estoril Round of 32
Droguet T.
Titouan Droguet faces Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the Estoril round of 32 on clay. Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the paper favourite — ranked #58, a roughly 60-point clay Elo advantage — but Titouan Droguet arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 8 on clay to Camilo Ugo Carabelli's 5.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Titouan Droguet comes in with 3 days of rest and 165 games in 14d, vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli's 3 and 93.
- Surface form: Titouan Droguet 6 of 8, Camilo Ugo Carabelli 5 of 8 on clay recently — Titouan Droguet the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadDroguet T.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 85 games (7d) · Ugo Carabelli C.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.