Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga — Estoril Round of 32
Wawrinka S.
Stan Wawrinka faces Roman Andres Burruchaga in the Estoril round of 32 on clay. Roman Andres Burruchaga holds the paper edge — ranked #67, a roughly 80-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Burruchaga R. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Stan Wawrinka comes in with 5 days of rest and 33 games in 14d, vs Roman Andres Burruchaga's 2 and 96.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Roman Andres Burruchaga has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 67 vs 47).
- Surface form: Stan Wawrinka 2 of 8, Roman Andres Burruchaga 4 of 8 on clay recently — Roman Andres Burruchaga the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadWawrinka S.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Burruchaga R.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.