Yuta Shimizu vs Liam Broady — Winnipeg Round of 32
GBR5
Shimizu Y.
Yuta Shimizu faces Liam Broady in the Winnipeg round of 32 on hard. Liam Broady holds the paper edge — ranked #198, a roughly 160-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Broady L. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Yuta Shimizu 45 games in 14 days, Liam Broady 101.
- Under pressure: Liam Broady has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 53 vs Yuta Shimizu's 22).
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadShimizu Y.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Broady L.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.