Jacob Fearnley vs Remy BertolaBloomfield Hills Round of 32

Bloomfield Hills · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#123ATP
1600ELO
1565Hard ELO
$342kYTD
$1.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWLWLWL
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
hard
#179ATP
1579ELO
1528Hard ELO
$109kYTD
$343kCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWWLWWWW
Fearnley J.
vs
Bertola R.

Jacob Fearnley faces Remy Bertola in the Bloomfield Hills round of 32 on hard. Jacob Fearnley holds the paper edge — ranked #123, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Fearnley J.57%
Bertola R.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Jacob Fearnley comes in with 7 days of rest and 139 games in 14d, vs Remy Bertola's 5 and 32.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Jacob Fearnley has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 85 vs 30).
  • Win streak: Jacob Fearnley arrives on a 5-match winning run.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+37 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1528
5.3Overall Elo 1600
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1579
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.54 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.14 of last 10 on hard
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

18 vs 32 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.0
4.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.5
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Fearnley J.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Bertola R.

Bertola R.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Fearnley J.

Serve advantage — Bertola R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
85
30
Break points saved·Dominant
96
70
Break points won·Dominant
70
12
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
37
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
83
62

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
92

Fearnley J.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 35 games (7d) · Bertola R.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 60%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw