Eva Vedder vs Mona BarthelHamburg Qualifying Final

Hamburg · WTA · Qualifying Final
#178WTA
1537ELO
1478Clay ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
clay
M1 · 2nd on
#223WTA
1551ELO
1500Clay ELO
36 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWLLLL
Vedder E.
6-4 3-6 0-6
Barthel M.
Vedder E.
6301
Barthel M.
4662

Mona Barthel won the final of the Hamburg clay tournament, defeating Eva Vedder 4-6, 6-3, 6-0. Barthel hit 2 aces and 8 double faults, while converting 60% of her break points and winning 70% of her first-serve points. Barthel earned 6 service breaks to Vedder's 3.

Around the match

  • You rarely get the chance to play at home, so I'm very pleased about this success. I recently thought about it—I've been doing this for 18 years now. I can really be grateful that I've been able to do it for so long.

    Barthel M.hamburg-open.com· 2026-07-20

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.6
4.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
7.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
44
0
Break points saved·Dominant
73
13
Break points won·Dominant
72
14
Deciding sets·Dominant
40
9
Tiebreaks·
12

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Vedder E.52%
Barthel M.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.7Clay Elo 1478
Surface ELO
5.3+22 Clay Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1537
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1551
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.96 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.53 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
69
68

Vedder E.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 63 games (7d) · Barthel M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 55%

Draw