Daniel Elahi Galan vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly — Tampere Round of 32
Elahi Galan D.
Daniel Elahi Galan faces Gilles Arnaud Bailly in the Tampere round of 32 on clay. Gilles Arnaud Bailly is the paper favourite — ranked #203 — but Daniel Elahi Galan arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 9 on clay to Gilles Arnaud Bailly's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Daniel Elahi Galan comes in with 2 days of rest and 64 games in 14d, vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly's 6 and 88.
- Surface form: Daniel Elahi Galan 6 of 9, Gilles Arnaud Bailly 2 of 9 on clay recently — Daniel Elahi Galan the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadElahi Galan D.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d) · Arnaud Bailly G.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.