Daniel Altmaier vs Raphael Collignon — Kitzbuhel Round of 32
Altmaier D.
Daniel Altmaier faces Raphael Collignon in the Kitzbuhel round of 32 on clay. Raphael Collignon holds the paper edge — ranked #42, a roughly 120-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Collignon R. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Daniel Altmaier comes in with 3 days of rest and 40 games in 14d, vs Raphael Collignon's 1 and 93.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Raphael Collignon has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 73 vs 10).
- Win streak: Raphael Collignon arrives on a 4-match winning run.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadAltmaier D.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d) · Collignon R.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.