Mert Alkaya vs Juan Pablo Ficovich — Segovia Round of 32
Alkaya M.
Mert Alkaya faces Juan Pablo Ficovich in the Segovia round of 32 on hard. Juan Pablo Ficovich holds the paper edge — ranked #224, a roughly 80-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Ficovich J. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Mert Alkaya comes in with 6 days of rest and 33 games in 14d, vs Juan Pablo Ficovich's 5 and 66.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadAlkaya M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Ficovich J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.