Ayla Aksu vs Sofia CostoulasLivesport Prague Open Round of 32

Livesport Prague Open · WTA · Round of 32
#214WTA
1521ELO
1513Hard ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWWWLWW
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 3rd on
#157WTA
1565ELO
1569Hard ELO
21 yrs
Last 10
WWLLLLWWLW
Aksu A.
vs
Costoulas S.

Ayla Aksu faces Sofia Costoulas in the Livesport Prague Open round of 32 on hard. Sofia Costoulas holds the paper edge — ranked #157, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 60-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Aksu A.37%
Costoulas S.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Costoulas S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Head-to-head: Sofia Costoulas leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Livesport Prague Open 2026.
  • Fatigue load: Sofia Costoulas carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1513
Surface ELO
5.7+56 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1521
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1565
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
5.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.57 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

25 vs 35 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
59%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Even
52%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
3.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.6
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Aksu A.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Costoulas S.

Costoulas S.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Aksu A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
74
64

Aksu A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 56 games (7d) · Costoulas S.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-19Livesport Prague OpenFhardSofia Costoulas7-5 6-2

Draw