Gauthier Onclin vs Duje AjdukovicTampere Round of 32

Tampere · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#169ATP
1567ELO
1496Clay ELO
$100kYTD
$617kCAREER
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWLLWWW
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
#303ATP
1480ELO
1462Clay ELO
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLLLWWL
Onclin G.
vs
Ajdukovic D.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Onclin G.65%
Ajdukovic D.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Onclin G. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+34 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Clay Elo 1462
6.1Overall Elo 1567
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1480
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.92 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

19 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
45%
Service points won·Even
62%
58%
Return points won·Even
41%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
49%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.1
3.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Onclin G.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Ajdukovic D.

Ajdukovic D.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Onclin G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
46
32
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
59
Break points won·Clear edge
17
32
Deciding sets·Clear edge
74
60
Tiebreaks·Dominant
50
21

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
96

Onclin G.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d) · Ajdukovic D.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 40%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw