Raluka Serban vs Amarissa Kiara TothPalermo Qualifying Final

Palermo · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#324WTA
1356ELO
1336Clay ELO
29 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLWW
0 — 1
Sets
Retired
Sunday, 19 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTRALE · 1st on
#386WTA
1418ELO
1399Clay ELO
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWLWW
Serban R.
1-6 0-1
Kiara Toth A.
Serban R.
100
Kiara Toth A.
611

Amarissa Kiara Toth won the final of the Palermo clay court tournament against Raluka Serban. The match ended with Serban's retirement, trailing 6-1, 1-0. At the time of retirement, Toth had converted four service breaks to Serban's one, and held a higher first-serve win percentage, 61 to 30.

Around the match

  • Fourth seed forced to retire from qualifying match due to physical injury after losing first set.

    Serban R.palermoladiesopen.it· 2026-07-19

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
54%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
44%
Service points won·Even
54%
51%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
52%
Break points saved·Slight edge
48%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.7
0.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.2
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Serban R.36%
Kiara Toth A.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kiara Toth A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.2Clay Elo 1336
Surface ELO
5.8+63 Clay Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1356
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1418
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
86
88

Serban R.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 25 games (7d) · Kiara Toth A.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 36 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
32°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw