Yufei Ren vs Miriana TonaPalermo Qualifying Final

Palermo · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#323WTA
1361ELO
1351Clay ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 19 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTRALE · 2nd on
#353WTA
1275ELO
1251Clay ELO
31 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLWLLWL
Ren Y.
6-0 6-3
Tona M.
Ren Y.
662
Tona M.
030

Yufei Ren won the final of the Palermo tournament, defeating Miriana Tona 6-0, 6-3 on clay. Ren hit 3 aces and 1 double fault, winning 70% of her first serves and converting 43% of break points. She broke Tona's serve 6 times, while Tona converted 33% of her break points and broke Ren's serve once.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Break points saved·Even
51%
47%
Aces / match·Even
0.8
1.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Ren Y.68%
Tona M.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Ren Y. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.3+100 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Clay Elo 1251
6.1Overall Elo 1361
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1275
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.66 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.54 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
83
89

Ren Y.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 32 games (7d) · Tona M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw