Renta Tokuda vs Kenta MiyoshiWinnipeg Qualifying Semi-final

Winnipeg · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#418ATP
1224ELO
1197Hard ELO
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 19 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 3rd on
#817ATP
1476ELO
1447Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Tokuda R.
6-7 6-3 6-2
Miyoshi K.
Tokuda R.
67662
Miyoshi K.
79321

Renta Tokuda defeated Kenta Miyoshi in the semifinals of the Winnipeg hard-court tournament. The match went three sets, with Tokuda taking the first set 6-7, then winning the next two 6-3, 6-2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
67%
1st serve points won·
68%
2nd serve points won·
50%
Service points won·
62%
Return points won·
37%
Break points saved·
58%
Aces / match·
2.3
Double faults / match·
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Tokuda R.5%
Miyoshi K.95%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Miyoshi K. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.9Hard Elo 1197
Surface ELO
8.1+250 Hard Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1224
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1476
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.73 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
95
77

Tokuda R.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Miyoshi K.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 80 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
31°CMainly clear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw