Renta Tokuda vs Kenta Miyoshi — Winnipeg Qualifying Semi-final

Winnipeg · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
Renta Tokuda
JPN4
Renta Tokuda
#484ATP
1224ELO
1197Hard ELO
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 19 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 3rd on
JPN
Kenta Miyoshi
#467ATP
1476ELO
1447Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWWLWW
Tokuda R.
6-7 6-3 6-2
Miyoshi K.
Tokuda R.
67662
Miyoshi K.
79321

Renta Tokuda defeated Kenta Miyoshi in the semifinals of the Winnipeg hard-court tournament. The match went three sets, with Tokuda taking the first set 6-7, then winning the next two 6-3, 6-2.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Tokuda R.Miyoshi K.
1st serve in·Clear edge
67%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.3
4.0
Double faults / match·Even
1.3
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Tokuda R.5%
Miyoshi K.95%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Miyoshi K. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tokuda R.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Miyoshi K.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.9Hard Elo 1197
Surface ELO
8.1+250 Hard Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1224
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1476
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.73 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Tokuda R.Miyoshi K.
Freshness·
—
76

Miyoshi K.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
31°CMainly clear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw