Barbora Krejcikova vs Maria Sakkari — Athens Final
GRE4
Krejcikova B.
Barbora Krejcikova faces Maria Sakkari in the Athens final on hard. Barbora Krejcikova holds the paper edge — ranked #32, leading the head-to-head 2–0, a roughly 20-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Krejcikova B. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Barbora Krejcikova 111 games in 14 days, Maria Sakkari 72.
- Head-to-head: Barbora Krejcikova leads the head-to-head 2–0, 1–0 on hard. Last met at Roland Garros 2021.
- Win streak: Both arrive on four-match winning runs.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadKrejcikova B.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d) · Sakkari M.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 72 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
2–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-05-31 | Roland Garros | SF | clay | Barbora Krejcikova | 7-5 4-6 9-7 |
| 2021-03-07 | Dubai | R64 | hard | Barbora Krejcikova | 6-2 7-6 |