Barbora Krejcikova vs Maria SakkariAthens Final

Athens · WTA · Final
#29WTA
1874ELO
1820Hard ELO
30 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 19 July 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#35WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
31 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
Krejcikova B.
7-6 6-3
Sakkari M.
Krejcikova B.
7762
Sakkari M.
6530

Barbora Krejcikova won the Athens final, defeating Maria Sakkari 7-6, 6-3. Krejcikova and Sakkari each converted 100% of their break points, with Krejcikova securing three service breaks to Sakkari's two. Krejcikova served two aces to Sakkari's five and posted a 71% first-serve win percentage to Sakkari's 68%.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • It's been a huge privilege to be here with you today at such a historic moment for you. Playing in front of the home crowd is something very, very special.

    Krejcikova B.WTA Tennis
  • It's great. It's something very special and incredible, and it's a unique experience, because I didn't feel like this for such a long period. I'm just very happy.

    Krejcikova B.WTA Tennis
  • I never thought that I would be standing here today, playing in front of this crowd. You made me a player. You made this career possible, so thank you.

    Sakkari M.WTA Tennis

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-05-31Roland GarrosSFclayBarbora Krejcikova7-5 4-6 9-7
2021-03-07DubaiR64hardBarbora Krejcikova6-2 7-6
2014-06-30Torun 25KFclayBarbora Krejcikova6-4 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.4
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
83
78
Break points won·Even
94
91
Deciding sets·Clear edge
93
75
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
89
74

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Krejcikova B.62%
Sakkari M.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Krejcikova B. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.3+24 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1796
5.8Overall Elo 1874
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1812
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.86 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.47 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
97
85

Krejcikova B.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Sakkari M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
33°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 31%

Draw