Alexander Donski vs Marko TopoZug Qualifying Semi-final

Zug · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#550ATP
1428ELO
1369Clay ELO
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 19 July 2026 ·
clay
TOPCAR COURT 2 · 1st on
#374ATP
1463ELO
1399Clay ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLLL
Donski A.
6-4 6-1
Topo M.
Donski A.
662
Topo M.
410

Alexander Donski defeated Marko Topo 6-4, 6-1 in the semifinals of the Zug clay tournament. Donski hit 10 aces to Topo's 6 and converted 44% of his break points, compared to Topo's 0%. Donski won 75% of his first-serve points to Topo's 58%, and he broke Topo's serve four times while committing only one double fault himself.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
51%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
Return points won·Even
36%
34%
Break points saved·Clear edge
65%
52%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.8
4.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.9
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Donski A.43%
Topo M.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1369
Surface ELO
5.4+30 Clay Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1428
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1463
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.24 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.44 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
93
79

Donski A.: 12 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Topo M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
16°COvercast
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 82%

Draw