Luca Castelnuovo vs Alexander Vasilev — Segovia Qualifying Semi-final
SUI5
Castelnuovo L.
Alexander Vasilev advanced to the Segovia semifinals with a 6-4, 6-2 win over Luca Castelnuovo. Vasilev hit 5 aces and won 79% of his first-serve points, converting 50% of his break points. Castelnuovo converted all 3 of his break points but was only able to break Vasilev once.
Key context
- Match story: Alexander Vasilev dropped just 6 games past Luca Castelnuovo.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Vasilev A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadCastelnuovo L.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Vasilev A.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About