Noemi Basiletti vs Isabella ShinikovaPalermo Qualifying Final

Palermo · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#309WTA
1356ELO
1327Clay ELO
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 19 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTRALE · 3rd on
#409WTA
1346ELO
1250Clay ELO
34 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLWL
Basiletti N.
7-5 6-0
Shinikova I.
Basiletti N.
762
Shinikova I.
500

Noemi Basiletti won the final of the Palermo tournament, defeating Isabella Shinikova 7-5, 6-0 on clay. Basiletti did not hit an ace and did not commit a double fault, while Shinikova had four double faults. Basiletti converted 71 percent of her break points and won five service breaks to Shinikova's one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
55%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Return points won·Even
49%
45%
Break points saved·Clear edge
48%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.3
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Basiletti N.49%
Shinikova I.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.0+77 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Clay Elo 1250
5.1Overall Elo 1356
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1346
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.44 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.34 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
71
87

Basiletti N.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 60 games (7d) · Shinikova I.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw