Anastasia Zakharova vs Hanne Vandewinkel — Istanbul 2 Semi-final
Zakharova A.
Anastasia Zakharova faces Hanne Vandewinkel in the Istanbul 2 semi-final on hard. Hanne Vandewinkel holds the paper edge — ranked #98, a roughly 20-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Zakharova A. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: Hanne Vandewinkel has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 78 vs Anastasia Zakharova's 55).
- Last match: Anastasia Zakharova dropped just 6 games past T. Prozorova.
- Last match: Hanne Vandewinkel advanced when Harmony Tan retired.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadZakharova A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d) · Vandewinkel H.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.