Vendula Valdmannova vs Lanlana TararudeeIstanbul 2 Semi-final

Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#206WTA
1608ELO
1602Hard ELO
18 yrs
Last 10
WWWLLWWLWL
Sets
Saturday, 18 July 2026 ·
hard
#91WTA
1678ELO
1686Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWLLLWL
Valdmannova V.
vs
Tararudee L.

Vendula Valdmannova faces Lanlana Tararudee in the Istanbul 2 semi-final on hard. Lanlana Tararudee holds the paper edge — ranked #91, a roughly 80-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Valdmannova V.34%
Tararudee L.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Tararudee L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1602
Surface ELO
6.0+84 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1608
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1678
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.39 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.18 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

33 vs 35 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Even
46%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.7
5.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.2
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Valdmannova V.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Tararudee L.

Tararudee L.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Valdmannova V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
80
77

Valdmannova V.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Tararudee L.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
30°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 44%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw