Clara Tauson vs Barbora KrejcikovaAthens Semi-final

Athens · WTA · Semi-final
#30WTA
1802ELO
1775Hard ELO
$911kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLLWWLLL
Sets
Saturday, 18 July 2026 ·
hard
#32WTA
1874ELO
1820Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWWLWW
Tauson C.
vs
Krejcikova B.

Clara Tauson faces Barbora Krejcikova in the Athens semi-final on hard. Clara Tauson holds the paper edge — ranked #30. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, Clara Tauson ahead 1–0 on hard.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Tauson C.46%
Krejcikova B.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1775
Surface ELO
5.6+44 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1802
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1874
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
7.27 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.76 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

13 vs 7 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
40%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
Return points won·Even
42%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.1
4.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Tauson C.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Krejcikova B.

Krejcikova B.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Tauson C.

Serve advantage — Krejcikova B.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
57
88
Break points saved·Even
65
68
Break points won·Even
91
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
34
92
Tiebreaks·Dominant
60
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
80
78

Tauson C.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Krejcikova B.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
31°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 32%

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-21ClevelandR32hardClara Tauson6-4 6-1
2021-06-28WimbledonR128grassBarbora Krejcikova6-3 6-2

Draw