Marina Bassols Ribera vs Sinja KrausKitzbuhel

Kitzbuhel · CHALLENGER
#144WTA
1610ELO
1593Clay ELO
26 yrs · 165 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLLWWLLW
Sets
Saturday, 18 July 2026 ·
clay
#94WTA
1736ELO
1696Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWLLWW
Bassols Ribera M.
vs
Kraus S.

Marina Bassols Ribera faces Sinja Kraus in the Kitzbuhel match on clay. Sinja Kraus holds the paper edge — ranked #94, a roughly 100-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Bassols Ribera M.19%
Kraus S.81%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Kraus S. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.7Clay Elo 1592
Surface ELO
6.3+104 Clay Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1610
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1736
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
7.07 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.18 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

23 vs 34 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
45%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
49%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.0
1.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.7
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bassols Ribera M.serving41% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Kraus S.

Kraus S.serving37% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Bassols Ribera M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
27
56
Break points saved·Clear edge
27
43
Break points won·Slight edge
89
97
Deciding sets·Dominant
58
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
13
31

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
76
74

Bassols Ribera M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d) · Kraus S.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 36 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 69%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw