Federica Urgesi vs Yelyzaveta Kotliar — Palermo Qualifying Semi-final
Urgesi F.
Federica Urgesi faces Yelyzaveta Kotliar in the Palermo qualifying semi-final on clay. Federica Urgesi holds the paper edge — ranked #287, a roughly 310-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Urgesi F. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Federica Urgesi comes in with 3 days of rest and 40 games in 14d, vs Yelyzaveta Kotliar's 5 and 108.
- Surface form: Federica Urgesi 6 of 10, Yelyzaveta Kotliar 4 of 10 on clay recently — Federica Urgesi the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadUrgesi F.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d) · Kotliar Y.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.