Aleksandar Vukic vs August Holmgren — Granby Semi-final
AUS1
DEN3
Vukic A.
Aleksandar Vukic faces August Holmgren in the Granby semi-final on hard. Aleksandar Vukic holds the paper edge — ranked #113, a roughly 80-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: August Holmgren dropped just 4 games past Justin Boulais.
- Last match: Aleksandar Vukic won all two sets in tiebreaks against Alexis Galarneau.
- Fatigue load: August Holmgren carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadVukic A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 79 games (7d) · Holmgren A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 72 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.