Sandro Kopp vs Pierre Hugues HerbertKitzbuhel Qualifying Semi-final

Kitzbuhel · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#291ATP
1437ELO
1428Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWWWWL
Sets
Saturday, 18 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 4th on
#247ATP
1607ELO
1530Clay ELO
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWWLWWLL
Kopp S.
vs
Hugues Herbert P.

Sandro Kopp faces Pierre Hugues Herbert in the Kitzbuhel qualifying semi-final on clay. Pierre Hugues Herbert is the paper favourite — ranked #247, a roughly 100-point clay Elo advantage — but Sandro Kopp arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 6 on clay to Pierre Hugues Herbert's 2.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Kopp S.32%
Hugues Herbert P.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Hugues Herbert P. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Clay Elo 1428
Surface ELO
6.3+102 Clay Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1437
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1607
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.57 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.94 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

21 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.2
6.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kopp S.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Hugues Herbert P.

Hugues Herbert P.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Kopp S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
4
7
Break points saved·Clear edge
64
86
Break points won·Even
16
16
Deciding sets·Slight edge
5
10
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
2
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
94
89

Kopp S.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Hugues Herbert P.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
20°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 82%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw