Luis Guto Miguel vs Francisco CerundoloUts Championship

Uts Championship · Tennis
#839ATP
1322ELO
1317Clay ELO
17 yrs
Last 10
WWLWLWLWWW
Sets
Saturday, 18 July 2026 ·
clay
#22ATP
1931ELO
1868Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWWLWW
Guto Miguel L.
vs
Cerundolo F.

Luis Guto Miguel faces Francisco Cerundolo in the Uts Championship match on clay. Francisco Cerundolo holds the paper edge — ranked #22, a roughly 550-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Luis Guto Miguel carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 3 of 4 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
0.0Clay Elo 1317
Surface ELO
10.0+551 Clay Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1322
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 1931
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.16 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

11 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
54%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.2
3.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Guto Miguel L.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Cerundolo F.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Guto Miguel L.

Serve advantage — Cerundolo F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Cerundolo F.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw