Murphy Cassone vs Arthur Gea — Granby Semi-final
FRA2
Cassone M.
Murphy Cassone faces Arthur Gea in the Granby semi-final on hard. Arthur Gea holds the paper edge — ranked #137, a roughly 220-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Gea A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Murphy Cassone comes in with 1 days of rest and 109 games in 14d, vs Arthur Gea's 1 and 134.
- Last match: Murphy Cassone dropped just 3 games past Philip Sekulic.
- Last match: Arthur Gea handed Liam Draxl a third-set bagel in a 7–6 2–6 6–0 win.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadCassone M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 83 games (7d) · Gea A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 62 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.