Lucija Ciric Bagaric vs Amarissa Kiara Toth — Palermo Qualifying Semi-final
Palermo · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
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Sets
Walkover
Saturday, 18 July 2026 ·
clay
Ciric Bagaric L.vs
Kiara Toth A.
Amarissa Kiara Toth advanced to the final of the Palermo tournament after Lucija Ciric Bagaric withdrew before their semifinal match, awarding Toth a walkover victory. As a result, no play was contested between the two players. Toth moves on to the final.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Clear edge
55%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
54%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
44%
Service points won·Even
53%
51%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
52%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
0.6
Double faults / match·Even
4.0
3.7
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTCCiric Bagaric L.11%
Kiara Toth A.89%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Kiara Toth A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
3.2Clay Elo 1253
Surface ELO6.8+146 Clay Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1257
ELO gap7.0Overall Elo 1418
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
2.73 of last 10 on clay
Surface form5.15 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 70%