Viktoria Morvayova vs Ayla AksuLivesport Prague Open Qualifying Semi-final

Livesport Prague Open · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#300WTA
1385ELO
1368Hard ELO
25 yrs
Last 10
LWWLLWLLWW
Sets
Saturday, 18 July 2026 ·
hard
#214WTA
1521ELO
1513Hard ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWLWWWL
Morvayova V.
vs
Aksu A.

Viktoria Morvayova faces Ayla Aksu in the Livesport Prague Open qualifying semi-final on hard. Ayla Aksu holds the paper edge — ranked #214, a roughly 150-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Morvayova V.30%
Aksu A.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Aksu A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Hard Elo 1368
Surface ELO
6.8+146 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1385
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1521
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

21 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
41%
45%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
47%
Break points saved·Even
55%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.6
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Morvayova V.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Aksu A.

Aksu A.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Morvayova V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
93

Morvayova V.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 50 games (7d) · Aksu A.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw