Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante — Bastad Quarter-final
CHI3
Tabilo A.
Alejandro Tabilo faces Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Bastad quarter-final on clay. Alejandro Tabilo holds the paper edge — ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 3–0, a roughly 70-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Alejandro Tabilo grades 58 on serve, Thiago Agustin Tirante 40 on return.
- Head-to-head: Alejandro Tabilo leads the head-to-head 3–0. Last met at Santiago 2026.
- Surface form: Alejandro Tabilo 5 of 7, Thiago Agustin Tirante 4 of 7 on clay recently — Alejandro Tabilo the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadTabilo A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Tirante T.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
3–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Santiago | R16 | clay | Alejandro Tabilo | 4-6 6-3 6-3 |
| 2026-02-16 | Rio de Janeiro | QF | clay | Alejandro Tabilo | 7-6 6-7 6-1 |
| 2022-01-31 | Cordoba | Q2 | clay | Alejandro Tabilo | 6-3 6-4 |