Yulia Putintseva vs Mayar Sherif — Iasi Quarter-final
Putintseva Y.
Yulia Putintseva faces Mayar Sherif in the Iasi quarter-final on clay. Yulia Putintseva is the paper favourite — ranked #82, a roughly 80-point clay Elo advantage — but Mayar Sherif arrives in form, winning all 8 of their last clay matches to Yulia Putintseva's 6.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Putintseva Y. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Yulia Putintseva 112 games in 14 days, Mayar Sherif 129.
- Last match: Yulia Putintseva dropped just 6 games past Alina Charaeva.
- Win streak: Mayar Sherif arrives on a 7-match winning run.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadPutintseva Y.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 70 games (7d) · Sherif M.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 90 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.