Luis Guto Miguel vs Brandon Nakashima — Uts Championship

Uts Championship · Tennis
BRA
Luis Guto Miguel
#839ATP
1322ELO
1317Clay ELO
17 yrs
Last 10
LWLWLWWWLW
—
Sets
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
clay
Brandon Nakashima
USA
Brandon Nakashima
#32ATP
1839ELO
1735Clay ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWLWWL
Guto Miguel L.
vs
Nakashima B.

Luis Guto Miguel faces Brandon Nakashima in the Uts Championship match on clay. Brandon Nakashima holds the paper edge — ranked #32, a roughly 420-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Luis Guto Miguel carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 2 of 4 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Guto Miguel L.
3.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Nakashima B.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
0.0Clay Elo 1317
Surface ELO
10.0+418 Clay Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1322
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 1839
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.16 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

11 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
Guto Miguel L.Nakashima B.
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
69%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
34%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.2
9.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.1
0.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Guto Miguel L.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Guto Miguel L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Guto Miguel L.Nakashima B.
Freshness·
—
100

Nakashima B.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw