Tamara Zidansek vs Petra MarcinkoIasi Quarter-final

Iasi · WTA · Quarter-final
#148WTA
1655ELO
1639Clay ELO
28 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWLLLWL
Sets
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
clay
#45WTA
1745ELO
1705Clay ELO
$588kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
20 yrs · 176 cm
Last 10
WWLLLWWWLW
Zidansek T.
vs
Marcinko P.

Tamara Zidansek faces Petra Marcinko in the Iasi quarter-final on clay. Petra Marcinko holds the paper edge — ranked #45, a roughly 70-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:20 UTC
Zidansek T.32%
Marcinko P.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Marcinko P. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Clay Elo 1639
Surface ELO
5.8+67 Clay Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1655
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1745
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
5.45 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

25 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
42%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
46%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.2
2.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Zidansek T.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Marcinko P.

Marcinko P.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Zidansek T.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
64
72
Break points saved·Clear edge
39
54
Break points won·Even
91
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
87
94
Tiebreaks·
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
78
76

Zidansek T.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Marcinko P.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 56%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.