Quentin Halys vs Alexander ShevchenkoGstaad Quarter-final

Gstaad · ATP · Quarter-final
#90ATP
1707ELO
1664Clay ELO
$721kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
29 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLWLLLW
Sets
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
clay
Court 1 · 4th on
#100ATP
1669ELO
1624Clay ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLLWWWWL
Halys Q.
vs
Shevchenko A.

Quentin Halys faces Alexander Shevchenko in the Gstaad quarter-final on clay. Quentin Halys holds the paper edge — ranked #90, leading the head-to-head 2–0, a roughly 40-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Halys Q.60%
Shevchenko A.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Halys Q. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+40 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Clay Elo 1624
5.5Overall Elo 1707
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1669
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
7.88 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.08 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

36 vs 34 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Even
67%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.8
6.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Halys Q.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Shevchenko A.

Shevchenko A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Halys Q.

Serve advantage — Halys Q.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
30
62
Break points saved·Clear edge
95
79
Break points won·Dominant
2
32
Deciding sets·Dominant
38
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
66
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
83
84

Halys Q.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d) · Shevchenko A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CMainly clear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 56%

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-23DubaiQ2hardQuentin Halys7-6 7-5
2025-10-20BaselQ1hardQuentin Halys6-3 6-7 7-6

Draw