Max Alcala Gurri vs Franco RoncadelliCordenons Quarter-final

Cordenons · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#229ATP
1581ELO
1564Clay ELO
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
clay
SERENA WINES 1881 (12) · 1st on
#238ATP
1495ELO
1478Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLLLWL
Alcala Gurri M.
6-1 6-3
Roncadelli F.
Alcala Gurri M.
662
Roncadelli F.
130

Max Alcala Gurri defeated Franco Roncadelli in the quarterfinals of the Cordenons tournament on clay, winning 6-1, 6-3. Alcala Gurri hit one ace and no double faults, while Roncadelli had no aces and one double fault. Alcala Gurri converted 50% of his break points and won four service breaks to Roncadelli's zero.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
77%
76%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Even
47%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
57%
Aces / match·Even
0.3
0.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Alcala Gurri M.70%
Roncadelli F.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Alcala Gurri M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.1+86 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Clay Elo 1478
6.1Overall Elo 1580
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1495
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.67 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
65

Alcala Gurri M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 32 games (7d) · Roncadelli F.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw