Aleksandar Vukic vs Alexis GalarneauGranby Quarter-final

Granby · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#113ATP
1630ELO
1597Hard ELO
$366kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLLWWLWW
Sets
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT CENTRAL · 2nd on
#158ATP
1593ELO
1548Hard ELO
$177kYTD
$837kCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWLWLW
Vukic A.
vs
Galarneau A.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Vukic A.50%
Galarneau A.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+49 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1548
5.5Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1593
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.36 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

23 vs 34 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
32%
40%
Break points saved·Even
61%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Vukic A.serving75% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Galarneau A.

Galarneau A.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Vukic A.

Serve advantage — Galarneau A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
32
28
Break points saved·Slight edge
89
79
Break points won·Clear edge
2
16
Deciding sets·Clear edge
39
22
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
84
61

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
70
54

Vukic A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d) · Galarneau A.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 96 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 35%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw