Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys — Gstaad Round of 16

Gstaad · ATP · Round of 16
Alexander Bublik
KAZ1
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1822Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
clay
Court 1 · 2nd on
Quentin Halys
FRA
Quentin Halys
#90ATP
1707ELO
1664Clay ELO
$721kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
29 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLLLWW
Bublik A.
7-6 4-6 6-7
Halys Q.
Bublik A.
774651
Halys Q.
646772

Quentin Halys defeated Alexander Bublik in the Round of 16 at the Gstaad tournament on clay, winning 6-7, 6-4, 7-6. Halys served 14 aces and converted 14% of break points, while Bublik served 13 aces and did not convert any break points. Halys won 90% of his first-serve points and broke Bublik's serve once, compared to Bublik's six double faults and zero service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Bublik A.Halys Q.
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
67%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Even
66%
67%
Aces / match·Even
9.8
9.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bublik A.Halys Q.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
83
30
Break points saved·Even
98
95
Break points won·Dominant
62
2
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
38
Tiebreaks·Dominant
92
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Bublik A.76%
Halys Q.24%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bublik A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bublik A.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Halys Q.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+158 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Clay Elo 1664
7.3Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1707
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.94 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bublik A.Halys Q.
Freshness·Slight edge
90
83

Bublik A.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Halys Q.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw