Sumit Nagal vs Federico Bondioli — Cordenons Quarter-final
Nagal S.
Sumit Nagal faces Federico Bondioli in the Cordenons quarter-final on clay. Sumit Nagal holds the paper edge — ranked #241, a roughly 160-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Nagal S. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Sumit Nagal comes in with 2 days of rest and 36 games in 14d, vs Federico Bondioli's 1 and 135.
- Surface form: Sumit Nagal 7 of 9, Federico Bondioli 5 of 9 on clay recently — Sumit Nagal the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadNagal S.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Bondioli F.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 105 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.