Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina TrevisanRome Round of 16

Rome · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#292WTA
1302ELO
1301Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWLWWWW
Sets
Thursday, 16 July 2026 ·
clay
#405WTA
1462ELO
1450Clay ELO
32 yrs · 160 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLLLWLWLWL
Zantedeschi A.
vs
Trevisan M.

Aurora Zantedeschi faces Martina Trevisan in the Rome round of 16 on clay. Aurora Zantedeschi holds the paper edge — ranked #292.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:21 UTC
Zantedeschi A.12%
Trevisan M.88%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Trevisan M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Clay Elo 1301
Surface ELO
6.9+149 Clay Elo edge
5.8Overall Elo 1302
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1462
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.78 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 16 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
50%
35%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
50%
Return points won·Even
50%
48%
Break points saved·Even
54%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
0.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
6.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Zantedeschi A.serving43% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Trevisan M.

Trevisan M.serving24% hold

wins 39% of points on serve vs Zantedeschi A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
75

Zantedeschi A.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 75 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.