Barbora Krejcikova vs Carole MonnetAthens Round of 16

Athens · WTA · Round of 16
#32WTA
1874ELO
1820Hard ELO
$650kYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWLWWWW
Sets
Thursday, 16 July 2026 ·
hard
#205WTA
1538ELO
1444Hard ELO
24 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
WLLWLLWWLW
Krejcikova B.
vs
Monnet C.

Barbora Krejcikova faces Carole Monnet in the Athens round of 16 on hard. Barbora Krejcikova holds the paper edge — ranked #32, a roughly 380-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:21 UTC
Krejcikova B.85%
Monnet C.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Krejcikova B. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.7+375 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.3Hard Elo 1444
8.3Overall Elo 1874
ELO gap
1.7Overall Elo 1538
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.15 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.13 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

7 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
66%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
72%
56%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
43%
Service points won·Clear edge
65%
52%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Clear edge
64%
48%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.7
1.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.1
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Krejcikova B.serving80% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Monnet C.

Monnet C.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Krejcikova B.

Serve advantage — Krejcikova B.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
92
3
Break points saved·Dominant
93
29
Break points won·Clear edge
92
76
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
1
Tiebreaks·
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Serve & return on hard

Krejcikova B.Monnet C.
39
Serve
57
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
88
100

Krejcikova B.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Monnet C.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
35°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 26%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.