Alex Molcan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina — Umag Quarter-final
SVK
Molcan A.
Alex Molcan faces Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Umag quarter-final on clay. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina holds the paper edge — ranked #20, a roughly 100-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 22:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Davidovich Fokina A. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Alex Molcan comes in with 1 days of rest and 88 games in 14d, vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's 10 and 109.
- Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina rising, Alex Molcan cooling.
- Last match: Alex Molcan advanced when Dino Prizmic retired.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMolcan A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Davidovich Fokina A.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.