Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia Bronzetti — Rome Round of 16
Kostovic T.
Teodora Kostovic faces Lucia Bronzetti in the Rome round of 16 on clay. Lucia Bronzetti holds the paper edge — ranked #139, a roughly 90-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Bronzetti L. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Teodora Kostovic dropped just 5 games past Jennifer Ruggeri.
- Surface form: Teodora Kostovic 3 of 6, Lucia Bronzetti 5 of 6 on clay recently — Lucia Bronzetti the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadKostovic T.: 15 days rest · Bronzetti L.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.