Elizabeth Mandlik vs Ariana Arseneault

W75 Granby · ITF · Round of 16

USA1

Elizabeth Mandlik

#185WTA

1530ELO

1505Hard ELO

25 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WLWWLLWWLW

2 — 1

Sets

Thursday, 16 July 2026 · 10:10

hard

CAN

Ariana Arseneault

#406WTA

1273ELO

1260Hard ELO

24 yrs

Last 10 · pre-match

WLWLWWLLWW

Mandlik E.

4-6 7-5 7-5

Arseneault A.

Mandlik E.

4772

Arseneault A.

6551

Elizabeth Mandlik defeated Ariana Arseneault 4-6, 7-5, 7-5 in the Round of 16 at the W75 Granby tournament. Mandlik hit one ace and eight double faults, while Arseneault had three aces and four double faults. Mandlik won 66% of her first-serve points, converted 64% of her break points, and made seven service breaks, compared to Arseneault's 55% first-serve win percentage, 33% break point conversion rate, and six service breaks.

Key context

Match story: Elizabeth Mandlik dropped the opening set before beating Ariana Arseneault 4–6 7–5 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Mandlik E.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Arseneault A.

Arseneault A.serving54% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Mandlik E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Mandlik E.Arseneault A.

1st serve in·Even

61%

59%

1st serve points won·Even

59%

63%

2nd serve points won·Even

46%

47%

Service points won·Even

54%

56%

Return points won·Even

45%

46%

Break points saved·Clear edge

43%

57%

Aces / match·Slight edge

1.5

2.9

Double faults / match·Clear edge

4.6

3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Mandlik E.

5.7

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Arseneault A.

5.0

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

8.1+245 Hard Elo edge

Surface ELO

1.9Hard Elo 1260

8.2Overall Elo 1530

ELO gap

1.8Overall Elo 1273

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

3.84 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

4.75 of last 10 on hard

0.0

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load

Mandlik E.Arseneault A.

Freshness·Slight edge

Mandlik E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Arseneault A.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather

20°CMainly clear

Wind 14 km/hHumidity 87%

Elizabeth Mandlik vs Ariana Arseneault — W75 Granby Round of 16

Key context

Head to head

Serve vs return

Statistics

Umpiry Score

Freshness

Conditions

Draw

Serve vs return