Rio Noguchi vs Dhakshineswar SureshLincoln Round of 16

Lincoln · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#222ATP
1532ELO
1513Hard ELO
27 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 15 July 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#446ATP
1611ELO
1563Hard ELO
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWL
Noguchi R.
6-4 6-0
Suresh D.
Noguchi R.
662
Suresh D.
400

Rio Noguchi advanced to the quarterfinals of the Lincoln tournament with a win over Dhakshineswar Suresh in the Round of 16. Noguchi secured the victory with a 6-4, 6-0 score.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
61%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
65%
80%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
66%
Return points won·Clear edge
43%
28%
Break points saved·Clear edge
56%
80%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.0
11.3
Double faults / match·Even
1.8
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Noguchi R.30%
Suresh D.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Suresh D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1512
Surface ELO
5.6+51 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1532
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1611
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.54 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.99 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
73
62

Noguchi R.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Suresh D.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw