Mark Lajal vs Mitchell KruegerLincoln Round of 16

Lincoln · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#159ATP
1589ELO
1556Hard ELO
$97kYTD
$654kCAREER
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLWWLWL
1 — 0
Sets
Retired
Wednesday, 15 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 7 · 2nd on
#364ATP
1461ELO
1436Hard ELO
32 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLLLLL
Lajal M.
6-2 3-1
Krueger M.
Lajal M.
631
Krueger M.
210

Mark Lajal advanced to the quarterfinals of the Lincoln tournament with a win over Mitchell Krueger in the Round of 16. Krueger retired during the match, trailing 6-2, 3-1. Lajal earned the victory as a result of Krueger's withdrawal.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.4
2.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
43
5
Break points saved·Slight edge
89
81
Break points won·
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
42
1
Tiebreaks·Dominant
81
0

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Lajal M.78%
Krueger M.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Lajal M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+121 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1436
6.6Overall Elo 1588
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1461
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.97 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
1.51 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
67
86

Lajal M.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Krueger M.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
32°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw